Former Oiler Philip Broberg Set to Come Crashing Down to Earth, Stats Say
Photo credit: USA Today Sports
Former Oilers Philip Broberg and Dylan Holloway returned to Edmonton last night on a high from their early days with the St. Louis Blues, but that may be soon crashing down to earth.
While both players have had so much success this year, their PDO suggests that their numbers could soon take a dip. PDO is a stat that some say essentially measures luck, and Broberg and Holloway are big beneficiaries of it.
PDO measures on-ice shooting percentage and save percentage, which should equal out to around 1.00. If it's above, it means a player is having a higher on ice shooting percentage and save percentage - or just getting lucky with good shots and saves on a player's shifts.
Broberg's PDO in particular was a 1.405 heading into Saturday's game, and he's leading the St. Louis Blues with a +7 on ice rating.
Eventually, he'll end up seeing a regression to the mean statistically, which means his shots won't find the back of the net and the Blues goalies could let a few bad goals in. That would significantly slow down his offensive production, and make his defensive numbers look a little worse - or perhaps just more realistic.
Through 16 games this season, Broberg has 2 goals and 12 points. He's having a breakout year and playing top pair minutes for the Blues, and it's looking more and more like the Oilers could regret losing out on a star player.
It may not be the best to wish for his results to worsen, but it may make Oilers fans a little more comfortable to know that Broberg is experiencing quite the bender of luck. Eventually, it'll come crashing down with a regression to the mean, but Broberg is still a great player.
Previously on Oilers Daily
POLL |
DECEMBRE 8 | 120 ANSWERS Former Oiler Philip Broberg Set to Come Crashing Down to Earth, Stats Say Do you think the Oilers made a mistake losing out on Philip Broberg? |
Yes | 67 | 55.8 % |
No | 46 | 38.3 % |
See Results | 7 | 5.8 % |
List of polls |
|
5 hours ago | By Ryan Hall Edmonton Oilers receive good news regarding the injury to Evander Kane |
|
6 hours ago | By Ryan Hall Oilers chances of landing Mikko Rantanen jump after new insider reports |
|
7 hours ago | By Ryan Hall Ryan Nugent-Hopkins confirms only one Oiler cheered for USA in 4 Nations Final |
|
8 hours ago | By Liam McCormick Oilers trading top six forward looks more likely after significant demotion in lineup |
|
9 hours ago | By Liam McCormick Wayne Gretzky makes gesture to Team Canada in locker room after 4 Nations Faceoff Final |
|
10 hours ago | By Liam McCormick Oilers confirm healthy scratch, new lineup for first game after 4 Nations Break |
|
12 hours ago | By Liam McCormick Oilers fast approaching critical decisions with multiple veteran players |
|
13 hours ago | By Liam McCormick Video surfaces of Coach Cooper's message to McDavid and Marner just before Canada's win |